Model: TIPPSA

Marquense vs CSD Municipal

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 18h 11m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSD Municipal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSD MunicipalGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.064 | A: 0.136

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MarquenseHOME

CSD MunicipalAWAY

LLLDL

Recent form

WDWWW

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.80

Shots on target for

2.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.80

4.40

Home splitL-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives CSD Municipal a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CSD Municipal's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 46.8% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Marquense – CSD Municipal Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample116

Win Rate52.6%

Profit+14.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 18h 11m ago

Updated

Updated 20h 35m ago