Toluca vs Seattle Sounders
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.087 | A: -0.118Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Toluca as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Toluca's attacking profile.
Toluca – Seattle Sounders Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23 | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Penarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W) | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Real Potosi - GV San Jose | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | AD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Mighty Wanderers - Blue Eagles | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Shanghai Port U20 - Henan U20 | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Athletic Bilbao (W) - Deportivo La Coruna (W) | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |
| Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |
| Brodd - Stabaek 2 | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |