Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Kagoshima United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Kagoshima UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J3-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Kagoshima United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Kagoshima United – Thespa Gunma Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Bayern Munich - Aston Villa | 1.92 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1.94 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |