Baglan Dragons – Pure Swansea

Model: TipA1

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.38
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 15h 53m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 18m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pure Swansea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pure SwanseaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Baglan DragonsHOME
VS
Pure SwanseaAWAY
DDL
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
0.33
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.00
Shots on target for
1.67
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.33
1.00
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.38
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pure Swansea's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.5% 7D: 18.5% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Baglan Dragons – Pure Swansea Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample68
Win Rate39.7%
Profit-2.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPerolas Negras (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)2.257.37%
WINDenbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC2.506.36%
LOSSBodens BK FF - Täfteå IK2.257.37%
WINJK Nomme United II - FC Levadia Tallinn U212.306.36%
LOSSFK Loko Praha - Dukla Praha B2.606.36%
WINTvååkers IF - Atvidabergs FF2.506.36%
WINTrau FC - FC Raengdai2.456.36%
WINRemo - Santos2.406.36%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
IK Franke - Enskede IK22.306.36%09 Aug 13:00
Pick
2 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.36% • n=530
Start
Starts in 15h 53m
Updated
Updated 5h 18m ago
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