Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Pure Swansea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Pure SwanseaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pure Swansea's attacking profile.
Baglan Dragons – Pure Swansea Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Perolas Negras (W) - 3B Sport AM (W) | 2.25 | 7.37% |
| WIN | Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Bodens BK FF - Täfteå IK | 2.25 | 7.37% |
| WIN | JK Nomme United II - FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2.30 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | FK Loko Praha - Dukla Praha B | 2.60 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Tvååkers IF - Atvidabergs FF | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Trau FC - FC Raengdai | 2.45 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Remo - Santos | 2.40 | 6.36% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Franke - Enskede IK | 2 | 2.30 | 6.36% | 09 Aug 13:00 |