Model: TIPPSH

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

PREDICTION

@ 1.76

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4h 31m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cruzeiro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CruzeiroGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.022

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.71First seen

Current1.76Now

Max odds1.76Highest point

Min odds1.69Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CruzeiroHOME

MirassolAWAY

WDWLW

Recent form

LDWDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.60

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.20

Home splitW-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-W0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.76

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Cruzeiro a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cruzeiro's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 16.7% 7D: 12.9% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

Cruzeiro – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample238

Win Rate53.8%

Profit+3.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1.75	3.37%
WIN	Bayern Munich - Aston Villa	1.92	3.37%
LOSS	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	1.95	3.37%
WIN	Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City	1.88	3.37%
WIN	Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20	1.81	3.37%
WIN	Queen's Park - Queen of South	2.01	3.37%
WIN	Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF	1.94	3.37%
WIN	Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven	1.76	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 1.76

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 4h 31m

Updated

Updated 2h 42m ago