TPV – SalPa

Model: TIPPSA

TPV vs SalPa

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 15h 32m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 34m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SalPa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SalPaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: -0.131

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TPVHOME
VS
SalPaAWAY
DLWLW
Recent form
DWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.60
1.40
Shots on target for
6.80
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
7.20
3.40
Home splitD-W-W-W-D2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Ykkonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.01
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -10.4% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 10.9%
Model insight

TPV – SalPa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate41.8%
Profit-7.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFram Reykjavik - KR Reykjavik2.21-0.84%
LOSSHaugesund 2 - Viking 22.12-0.84%
WINUnion Berlin (W) - Inter Milan (W)2.05-0.84%
WINShelbourne - St Patricks2.18-0.84%
LOSSFC Vitebsk - Neman Grodno2.18-0.84%
LOSSFørde - Brann 22.17-0.84%
LOSSÖrebro Syrianska IF - BK Forward2.20-0.84%
LOSSAEL Limassol - Atromitos Athinon2.01-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 15h 32m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 34m ago
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