Model: TipA1

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 43m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HNK Rijeka. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HNK RijekaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.087 | A: 0.010

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.16First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.18Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK VarazdinHOME

HNK RijekaAWAY

WWLWW

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.40

Shots on target for

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

1.60

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Croatia HNL (hr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -12.4% 7D: 0.9% 15D: 9.2% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

NK Varazdin – HNK Rijeka Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample53

Win Rate49.1%

Profit+4.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Ullern - FK Union Carl Berner	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	SV Tillmitsch - FC Gleisdorf 09	2.30	1.02%
LOSS	Kiraly SZE - Dorogi FC	2.00	1.03%
WIN	Academico Viseu - Santa Clara	2.30	1.02%
WIN	Moreton City Excelsior - Lions FC	2.25	1.02%
WIN	Quorn - Cleethorpes Town	2.35	1.02%
LOSS	Huesca - FC Andorra	2.35	1.02%
WIN	CUDP Lobos - Deportivo Metalurgico	2.00	1.03%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Gladesville Ravens (W) - Hills United FC (W)	2	2.20	1.03%	16 Aug 07:10
Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	2	2.00	1.03%	16 Aug 21:00

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.03% • n=125

Start

Starts in 20h 43m

Updated

Updated 2d 19h ago