Zdar nad Sazavou – Sparta Brno

Model: TipA1

Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sparta Brno

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 3h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sparta Brno. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sparta BrnoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: 0.226

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

75/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.80First seen
Current4.03Now
Max odds4.03Highest point
Min odds3.80Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Zdar nad SazavouHOME
VS
Sparta BrnoAWAY
DWLLL
Recent form
DWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.40
4.40
Home splitD-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-L2.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 4. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.80
V2 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Sparta Brno has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sparta Brno's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.3% 7D: -20.2% 15D: 1.5% 30D: 3.8%
Model insight

Zdar nad Sazavou – Sparta Brno Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.91% and 9.91%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate23.5%
Profit-1.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih - FC Livyi Bereh4.009.91%
LOSSEverton - Lille3.909.91%
LOSSAntalyaspor - Keciorengucu4.009.91%
LOSSKFF Mitrovica (W) - Ludogorets Razgrad (W)3.759.91%
WINPalermo - FC Ingolstadt4.009.91%
WINCabofriense - Perolas Negras4.009.91%
LOSSOrca Kamogawa FC (W) - Ehime FC (W)3.809.91%
LOSSSt Mochtas - Killester Donnycarney FC3.909.91%
Pick
2 @ 3.80
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.91% • n=86
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=86
Start
Started 3h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 31m ago
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