Model: TIPPSA

Sassuolo vs Cesena

PREDICTION

@ 6.91

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 0

StartStarted 15h 56m ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cesena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CesenaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.034 | A: 0.119

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds6.25First seen

Current7.00Now

Max odds7.50Highest point

Min odds5.59Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SassuoloHOME

CesenaAWAY

WLLDD

Recent form

LDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.60

Shots on target for

3.20

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

2.60

Home splitW-L-D-D-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-L-L0.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 6.91. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Coppa Italia (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd6.91

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Cesena has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cesena's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.7% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Sassuolo – Cesena Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 6.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 6.91

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 15h 56m ago

Updated

Updated 18h ago