Elche Ilicitano – FC Cartagena

Model: TipTromba6H

Elche Ilicitano vs FC Cartagena

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 11h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.22% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.22% · n=129
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Elche Ilicitano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Elche IlicitanoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.222 | A: -0.023

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

66/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.50First seen
Current5.63Now
Max odds5.89Highest point
Min odds5.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Elche IlicitanoHOME
VS
FC CartagenaAWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
LWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
2.60
1.40
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
6.80
Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.22% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.50
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.22% · n=129
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.22% · n=129
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 4.4% 7D: -14.4% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 2.4%
Model insight

Elche Ilicitano – FC Cartagena Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.22% and 5.22%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate15.0%
Profit-3.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSPanama U21 - Colombia U215.255.22%
LOSSJK Trans Narva - JK Nomme Kalju5.255.22%
LOSSSpartak Rychnov - FK Chlumec N.C5.505.22%
LOSSFA 2000 - B93 Copenhagen5.255.22%
WINGrimsby - Lincoln City5.255.22%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.22% • n=129
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.22% • n=129
Start
Started 11h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 19m ago
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