Model: TIPPSH

IFK Östersund vs Degerfors

PREDICTION

@ 16.01

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 5

StartStarted 1d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IFK Östersund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IFK ÖstersundGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds17.00First seen

Current19.00Now

Max odds20.00Highest point

Min odds13.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IFK ÖstersundHOME

DegerforsAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

WWWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.00

Shots on target for

4.33

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.80

Home splitL-W-W-D-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 16.01. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Sweden Cup Qualification (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd16.01

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to IFK Östersund's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 39.4% 7D: -3.3% 15D: -0.5% 30D: 2.9%

Model insight

IFK Östersund – Degerfors Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 16.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 16.01

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 1d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 22h ago