Eastern SC – Shatin

Model: TIPPSA

Eastern SC vs Shatin

PREDICTION
2
@ 6.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 46m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.47% · n=18
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.65% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shatin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ShatinGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.085 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.33First seen
Current6.00Now
Max odds6.00Highest point
Min odds4.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Eastern SCHOME
VS
ShatinAWAY
LLDLW
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.60
Defensive weakness
3.40
2.00
Shots on target for
5.80
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.75
Home splitL-W-W-D2.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-W4.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 6.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.65% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hong Kong Premier League (hk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd6.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.47% · n=18
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.65% · n=11
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Shatin has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.3% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 4.2%
Model insight

Eastern SC – Shatin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 6.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.47% and 3.65%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate66.7%
Profit+8.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPanserraikos - Panthrakikos6.132.47%
WINBarcelona Guayaquil - Macara5.912.47%
WINViktoria Plzen - Slovan Liberec5.932.47%
Pick
2 @ 6.00
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.47% • n=18
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.65% • n=11
Start
Starts in 5h 46m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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