Motherwell (W) – Hearts (W)

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Motherwell (W) vs Hearts (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 51.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 5
StartStarted 4h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.38% · n=12
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Motherwell (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Motherwell (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.216 | A: 0.012

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds41.00First seen
Current51.00Now
Max odds100.00Highest point
Min odds41.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Motherwell (W)HOME
VS
Hearts (W)AWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.40
2.80
Defensive weakness
3.20
1.00
Shots on target for
7.80
9.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
1.80
Home splitL-W-L-D-W1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 51.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.38% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Premier League Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd51.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.38% · n=12
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 38.0% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 4.4% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

Motherwell (W) – Hearts (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 51.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.38% across 12 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-3.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKingborough Lions - Melbourne Victory51.002.38%
LOSSKuala Lumpur FA (W) - Sabah FC (W)51.002.38%
LOSSWest Mont United (W) - Keystone FC (W)51.002.38%
Pick
1 @ 51.00
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.38% • n=12
Start
Started 4h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 23m ago
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