Fatima vs AT Malveira
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fatima. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FatimaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.070 | A: -0.051Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Fatima is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Fatima – AT Malveira Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brighton - Aston Villa | 2.25 | 8.94% |
| WIN | London City Lionesses (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.30 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Cento Cuore Harima - FC Basara Hyogo | 2.61 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Selwyn United - Northern AFC | 2.51 | 11.02% |
| LOSS | Universidad de Chile - Colo Colo | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| WIN | SV Ried - Grazer AK | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Deportes Linares - Provincial Osorno | 2.47 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso | 2.45 | 8.94% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 2.43 | 8.94% | 24 Jul 20:30 |
| Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest | 1 | 2.54 | 8.94% | 01 Aug 19:30 |
| Southampton - West Ham | 1 | 2.55 | 8.94% | 25 Aug 20:45 |
| FC Fredericia - Odense BK | 1 | 2.47 | 8.94% | 26 Aug 18:00 |