Model: TIPPSA

Dalian Young Boy vs Shanghai Shenhua

PREDICTION

@ 2.37

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 01, 2026 3:35 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 1d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Shenhua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai ShenhuaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.037 | A: -0.091

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.17First seen

Current2.37Now

Max odds2.37Highest point

Min odds2.17Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dalian Young BoyHOME

Shanghai ShenhuaAWAY

WDWDL

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.40

Shots on target for

3.60

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

Home splitW-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.37. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.43% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China FA Cup (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.37

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shanghai Shenhua is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -2.2% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 7.3%

Model insight

Dalian Young Boy – Shanghai Shenhua Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample199

Win Rate41.7%

Profit-1.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2.34	4.13%
WIN	Hull U21 - Swansea U21	2.15	2.63%
WIN	Asyut Petroleum - National Bank	2.26	4.13%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%
LOSS	Samgurali - FC Rustavi	2.33	4.13%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AC Boise	2.26	4.13%
LOSS	KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II	2.41	3.59%
WIN	Leighton Town - Bury Town	2.41	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2	2.42	4.13%	03 Sep 03:25

Pick

2 @ 2.37

Kickoff

Set 01, 2026 3:35 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.43% • n=79

Start

Started 1d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 8h ago