Atletico Nacional Medellin – Deportivo Cali

Model: TipTromba2H

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportivo Cali

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 03, 2026 3:15 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 2d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Nacional Medellin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico Nacional MedellinGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.007 | A: 0.021

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.44First seen
Current1.50Now
Max odds1.51Highest point
Min odds1.44Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Atletico Nacional MedellinHOME
VS
Deportivo CaliAWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
DLDWL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
8.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.80
Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Cup (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.50
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Atletico Nacional Medellin as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Atletico Nacional Medellin has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 2.6% 7D: -4.5% 15D: 12.7% 30D: 4.6%
Model insight

Atletico Nacional Medellin – Deportivo Cali Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample623
Win Rate64.5%
Profit+22.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTre Penne - SS Cosmos1.50-3.38%
WINEC Sao Bernardo U20 - CA Bandeirante U201.50-3.82%
WINBasel (W) - St Gallen (W)1.62-1.89%
WINMS Shikun Hamizrah - Hapoel Segev Shalom1.67-1.89%
LOSSWhite Star (W) - Genk Women II1.73-1.89%
WINFK Mornar Bar - FK Bokelj1.53-3.38%
LOSSHIFK - HPS1.50-1.89%
WINSlavija Sarajevo - Sutjeska Foca1.50-3.38%
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Pick
1 @ 1.50
Kickoff
Set 03, 2026 3:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 2d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 3h ago
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