Bandeirante – Uniao Sao Joao

Model: TIPPSH

Bandeirante vs Uniao Sao Joao

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 05, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 5d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bandeirante. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BandeiranteGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.145 | A: 0.122

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BandeiranteHOME
VS
Uniao Sao JoaoAWAY
WLLWD
Recent form
LWDDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
4.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-D1.75 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Cup (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.75
V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Bandeirante as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Bandeirante is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 19.1% 7D: 7.8% 15D: 14.1% 30D: 7.3%
Model insight

Bandeirante – Uniao Sao Joao Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample71
Win Rate35.2%
Profit-2.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVolgar G Astrakhan - FK Volga Ulyanovsk2.93-2.37%
WINCurico Unido - Union Espanola2.93-2.37%
LOSSFardu Ferghana - FK Orol Nukus2.84-2.37%
WINStockport U21 - Stoke U213.00-2.37%
WINCharlton U21 - Leeds U212.75-2.37%
LOSSACS Sepsi - CFR Cluj2.90-2.37%
WINWigan - Milton Keynes Dons2.75-2.37%
LOSSSE Paraty RJ - SE Belford Roxo2.94-2.37%
Pick
1 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Set 05, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.37% • n=266
Start
Started 5d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 6h ago
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