Model: TIPPSH

29 de Septiembre FBC vs Club General Martin Ledesma

PREDICTION

@ 2.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 47d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 29 de Septiembre FBC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 29 de Septiembre FBC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.33Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

29 de Septiembre FBCHOME

Club General Martin LedesmaAWAY

WDLDW

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

4.80

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.40

Home splitW-L-W-D1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.33. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Tercera Division (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.33

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. 29 de Septiembre FBC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 47.4% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 8.5%

Model insight

29 de Septiembre FBC – Club General Martin Ledesma Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample134

Win Rate42.5%

Profit-6.06u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO	2.47	3.15%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)	2.52	2.49%
LOSS	Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)	2.47	2.49%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
EPS - P-Iirot	1	2.47	3.15%	11 Jul 16:00

Pick

1 @ 2.33

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323

Start

Started 47d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 15h ago