Model: TIPPSH

Aberdeen vs Hearts

PREDICTION

@ 4.26

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 14h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aberdeen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AberdeenGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.000 | A: -0.145

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AberdeenHOME

HeartsAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWLLW

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.40

2.00

Shots on target for

6.00

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

1.40

4.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-W1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.11% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Premiership (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.26

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -22.6% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.6%

Model insight

Aberdeen – Hearts Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.11% and 4.11%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 4.26

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.11% • n=16

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.11% • n=16

Start

Starts in 4d 14h

Updated

Updated 9m ago