AD Nogueirense vs UD da Serra
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UD da Serra. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UD da SerraGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.34. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
AD Nogueirense – UD da Serra Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Hviti Riddarinn - Kormakur/Hvot | 2.28 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Orkla - NTNUI | 2.10 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios | 2.42 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23 | 2.34 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Hull U21 - Swansea U21 | 2.15 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Asyut Petroleum - National Bank | 2.26 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Hartberg - SV Ried | 2.50 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Samgurali - FC Rustavi | 2.33 | 4.13% |