Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri

Model: TIPPSA

Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 56d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Charlestown Azzurri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Charlestown Azzurri

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Adamstown RosebudHOME
VS
Charlestown AzzurriAWAY
WDLLL
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.60
Shots on target for
3.00
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
5.40
Home splitW-D-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.14% based on n=97 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.04
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Charlestown Azzurri's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 27.7% 7D: 15.5% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 2.2%
Model insight

Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample87
Win Rate42.5%
Profit-8.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSGlasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)2.052.63%
Pick
2 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 56d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 16h ago
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