Model: TIPPSA
Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 11d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebud | Charlestown Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-L | L-L-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-L-L (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded | 1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.00 against | 6.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Charlestown Azzurri's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Adamstown Rosebud – Charlestown Azzurri Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample81
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-4.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 2.16 | 4.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 11d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 8h ago