Model: TIPPSH
AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 35d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 35d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | AEK Larnaca | Apollon Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-D-L | L-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L (home) | L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.80 against | 3.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.33 against (home) | 4.33 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. AEK Larnaca is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.1%
7D: -17.9%
15D: -5.7%
30D: 9.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.03First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
AEK Larnaca – Apollon Limassol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample299
Win Rate48.2%
Profit-12.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta - Gimnasia Jujuy | 2.29 | 3.15% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 1 | 2.23 | 3.37% | 12 Jun 20:45 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 35d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 35d 14h ago