Aguilas vs Alcorcon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aguilas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AguilasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.041 | A: -0.068Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.92. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Aguilas – Alcorcon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Zurich II - FC Schaffhausen | 2.92 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Trujillanos - Monagas | 3.13 | 2.04% |
| LOSS | CD Universitario - CD Arabe Unido | 2.85 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Cosenza - Potenza | 3.00 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Cavese - Audace Cerignola | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Wolfsburg (W) | 3.12 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Derry City - Shamrock Rovers | 2.67 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Sabadell - Almeria | 3.01 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Elimai Semey - Kairat Almaty | 1 | 3.10 | 4.53% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| El Gounah - Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1 | 2.91 | 4.53% | 02 Sep 16:00 |
| Bohemians 1905 - FK Jablonec | 1 | 2.85 | 4.53% | 02 Sep 20:00 |