Aguilas – Almeria

Model: TIPPSH

Aguilas vs Almeria

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.81
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 12h 15m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.30% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aguilas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AguilasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.50First seen
Current5.81Now
Max odds5.81Highest point
Min odds5.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AguilasHOME
VS
AlmeriaAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
LDWDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.40
4.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.30% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.81
V2 BandLOWROI 0.30% · n=17
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Aguilas has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.9% 7D: 38.3% 15D: 19.8% 30D: 26.5%
Model insight

Aguilas – Almeria Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.30% across 17 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 5.81
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.30% • n=17
Start
Starts in 12h 15m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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