Model: TIPPSA
Al Gharafa – Al-Wakrah SC
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 05, 2026 6:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 21d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Al-Wakrah SC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-D-D-L | D-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D (home) | D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded | 2.33 scored / 0.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.67 for / 9.00 against | 7.67 for / 4.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 10.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al-Wakrah SC's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.19First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.19Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Al Gharafa – Al-Wakrah SC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample146
Win Rate42.5%
Profit-0.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.34
Kickoff
Mag 05, 2026 6:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 21d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 21d 8h ago