Model: TIPPSH

Al Najaf vs Amanat Baghdad

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 07, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 65d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 65d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Najaf. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Najaf

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

12/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al NajafHOME

Amanat BaghdadAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DDDLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.00

Shots on target for

4.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

3.00

Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L0.75 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.38

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Najaf's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -44.5% 7D: -23.8% 15D: -10.3% 30D: 6.1%

Model insight

Al Najaf – Amanat Baghdad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Mag 07, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 65d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 65d 18h ago