Al-Najma Manama – Al Ittihad

Model: TIPPSA

Al-Najma Manama – Al Ittihad

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 5d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 10h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Al-Najma Manama Al Ittihad
Last 5 form W-L-W-L-L L-W-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.40 3.60
Avg goals conceded 2.00 1.00
Home/Away form W-L-L-L (home) L-W-W-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 2.25 conceded 2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 4.00 against 6.40 for / 4.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.00 for / 4.00 against (home) 5.80 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Ittihad's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.58Now
Max odds3.66Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Al-Najma Manama – Al Ittihad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-0.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
WINBraga B - AD Sanjoanense3.78-1.79%
LOSSBrusque - Caxias RS3.75-1.79%
LOSSSalPa - RoPS3.70-1.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.58
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 5d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 10h ago
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