Al Nejmeh – Al Ahed

Model: TipTromba2H

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.57
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4h 54m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Nejmeh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al NejmehGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.130 | A: 0.000

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.57Now
Max odds1.57Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al NejmehHOME
VS
Al AhedAWAY
WDWDW
Recent form
DLLDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
2.00
Shots on target for
2.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
6.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.00 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.57
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -9.5% 7D: -1.3% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.6%
Model insight

Al Nejmeh – Al Ahed Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample421
Win Rate63.9%
Profit+11.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINIvory Coast U20 - Benin U201.50-3.38%
LOSSGrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi1.55-3.82%
LOSSGoztepe - NK Rudes1.73-1.89%
WINCD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves1.73-3.38%
LOSSNoroeste - Uniao Sao Joao1.55-3.38%
WINLDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W)1.62-1.89%
WINElfsborg (W) - Umea IK (W)1.67-3.82%
LOSSMacarthur Rams U20 - Hurstville FC U201.57-3.38%
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St Patricks - Derry City11.62-3.38%31 Jul 20:45
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FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani11.60-3.38%01 Aug 18:00
Pick
1 @ 1.57
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Starts in 4h 54m
Updated
Updated 15h 19m ago
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