Aldershot vs Portsmouth
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aldershot. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AldershotValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 6.25. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -5.24% based on n=21 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Aldershot has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Aldershot – Portsmouth Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Redbridge - AFC Hornchurch | 6.50 | -5.24% |
| LOSS | KSV Oudenaarde - SC Lokeren-Temse | 6.50 | -5.24% |
| WIN | Hercules II - KaPa Kajaani | 6.50 | -5.24% |
| LOSS | SV Horn - St Polten | 6.00 | -2.20% |
| WIN | Manitou FC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W) | 6.00 | -2.20% |
| LOSS | Sydney Olympic - Rockdale Ilinden FC | 6.00 | -0.85% |
| LOSS | Virgen de Chijipata - Deportivo FATIC | 6.00 | -0.85% |
| LOSS | Vänersborgs IF - Husqvarna FF | 6.00 | -0.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse - AEK Athens | 1 | 6.00 | -0.85% | 15 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Besa Biel/Bienne - Biel Bienne | 1 | 6.00 | -0.85% | 16 Jul 18:30 |