Amazonas FC – Itabaiana

Model: TipA1

Amazonas FC vs Itabaiana

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 07, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 23h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.76% · n=46
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Itabaiana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Itabaiana

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

66/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.40First seen
Current4.96Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds4.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Amazonas FCHOME
VS
ItabaianaAWAY
LDWLL
Recent form
WLDLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.00
Home splitW-L-L-D-W1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-D0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.76% based on n=46 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.76% · n=46
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 61.7% 7D: 62.4% 15D: 31.8% 30D: 12.1%
Model insight

Amazonas FC – Itabaiana Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.76% across 46 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHuachipato - Puerto Montt4.755.76%
LOSSIndependiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima5.005.76%
LOSSMC Oran - USM Alger5.005.76%
Pick
2 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Lug 07, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.76% • n=46
Start
Starts in 1d 23h
Updated
Updated 4h 45m ago
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