Model: TIPPSH
Araz FK – Zira IK
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 3d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Araz FK | Zira IK |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-L-D | L-W-L-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-L-L (home) | L-L-D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 3.00 against | 3.40 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.20 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.96First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.96Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Araz FK – Zira IK Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+1.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Mlandege FC - Uhamiaji FC | 2.57 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves - Atletico Tucuman Reserves | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Ural - Dynamo Makhachkala | 2.56 | 3.15% |
| WIN | USM Alger - Olympique Akbou | 2.70 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.69
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 3d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 8h ago