Model: TIPPSH
Aris Limassol – AEK Larnaca
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 4
StartStarted 4d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-L | W-D-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-D (home) | W-D-L-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 5.60 against | 5.00 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.75 for / 5.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aris Limassol's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Aris Limassol – AEK Larnaca Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate34.8%
Profit+0.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Loveledge Nagoya (W) - Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Meizhou Hakka | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| WIN | St. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC | 2.76 | -3.20% |
| LOSS | Lechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw | 2.94 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Ceara - Atletico Mineiro | 2.96 | -3.20% |
| WIN | El Porvenir - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.75 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.98
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 4d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 14h ago