Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Arminia Bielefeld. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Arminia BielefeldGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.143 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga II (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Arminia Bielefeld, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Arminia Bielefeld is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Arminia Bielefeld – Cottbus Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino de Rosario Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FC Tatabanya - Bicskei TC | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Corona Brasov - ACS Olimpic Zarnesti | 1.55 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Formartine United - Dundee B | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | East Fife - Spartans | 1.60 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Rosenborg 2 - Ranheim 2 | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester - Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Kazincbarcikai BSC - Kozarmisleny SE | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| FK Radnik Surdulica - FK Macva Sabac | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 15 Aug 19:00 |
| Venezia - Modena | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 15 Aug 20:45 |
| Verona - Virtus Entella | 1 | 1.57 | -3.82% | 16 Aug 20:45 |