Arminia Bielefeld – Cottbus

Model: TipTromba2H

Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 15h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arminia Bielefeld. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arminia BielefeldGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.143 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arminia BielefeldHOME
VS
CottbusAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
5.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.20
Shots on target for
6.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.80
Home splitW-W-W-D-D4.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L8.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga II (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Arminia Bielefeld, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Arminia Bielefeld is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.5% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 14.5% 30D: 12.1%
Model insight

Arminia Bielefeld – Cottbus Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample497
Win Rate63.4%
Profit+8.51u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINArgentino de Rosario Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves1.57-3.82%
WINFC Tatabanya - Bicskei TC1.50-1.89%
LOSSIndependiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia1.57-1.89%
WINCorona Brasov - ACS Olimpic Zarnesti1.55-1.89%
WINFormartine United - Dundee B1.67-3.82%
LOSSEast Fife - Spartans1.60-3.38%
LOSSPenarol Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves1.50-3.38%
WINRosenborg 2 - Ranheim 21.50-3.82%
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Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 3d 15h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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