Model: TIPPSH
Arnedo – Tropezon
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.52
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 12h 23m
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Arnedo | Tropezon |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-W | W-W-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-W-W (home) | W-D-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded | 1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for / 1.25 against | 3.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | N/A for / N/A against (home) | 3.00 for / 2.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Arnedo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 27.5%
7D: -0.5%
15D: -3.0%
30D: 6.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.52Now
Max odds2.52Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Arnedo – Tropezon Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate44.4%
Profit+0.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W) | 2.45 | 11.02% |
| WIN | Instituto AC Cordoba - Lanus | 2.44 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - River Plate (W) | 2.46 | 8.94% |
| WIN | SV Caiquetio - SV Brazil Juniors | 2.39 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Doncaster - Stevenage | 2.77 | 9.53% |
| WIN | FC Blau Weiss Linz - SCR Altach | 2.30 | 10.00% |
| LOSS | Crystal Palace - West Ham | 2.33 | 10.00% |
| WIN | Cork City - Kerry FC | 2.63 | 10.00% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 1 | 2.51 | 8.94% | 21 Jun 04:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.52
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Starts in 12h 23m
Updated
Updated 6m ago