Athlone Town – Finn Harps

Model: TIPPSH

Athlone Town vs Finn Harps

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 41d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athlone Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athlone TownGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athlone TownHOME
VS
Finn HarpsAWAY
DDLLL
Recent form
DLLLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
3.00
Shots on target for
4.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
6.80
Home splitD-D-L-D-D0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Athlone Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -14.0% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 2.2% 30D: -0.4%
Model insight

Athlone Town – Finn Harps Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample237
Win Rate53.6%
Profit+2.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
WINSekhukhune United FC - Durban City1.883.37%
WINPonte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U201.813.37%
WINQueen's Park - Queen of South2.013.37%
WINLjungskile - Sandvikens IF1.943.37%
WINDetroit City FC - Indy Eleven1.763.37%
LOSSGold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves1.793.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 41d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 20h ago
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