Athlone Town – UCD

Model: TIPPSH

Athlone Town vs UCD

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.82
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 5h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athlone Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athlone TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.046 | A: -0.034

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.82First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.82Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athlone TownHOME
VS
UCDAWAY
LWWWL
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.20
Shots on target for
4.60
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-D-D2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.82. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.82
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.3% 7D: -1.1% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 20.6%
Model insight

Athlone Town – UCD Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.96% and 7.96%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-5.37u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSParaguay - Australia2.917.96%
LOSSFC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)2.757.96%
LOSSHaras El Hedoud - Petrojet2.877.96%
LOSSAl-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal2.636.90%
LOSSEscola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U192.706.90%
WINFencibles United - Auckland FC II2.636.90%
LOSSHobro IK - AaB2.656.90%
LOSSProvincial Ovalle - Concon National2.706.90%
Pick
1 @ 2.82
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.96% • n=84
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.96% • n=84
Start
Starts in 4d 5h
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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