Athlone Town vs UCD
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Athlone Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Athlone TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.046 | A: -0.034Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.82. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.
Athlone Town – UCD Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Paraguay - Australia | 2.91 | 7.96% |
| LOSS | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W) | 2.75 | 7.96% |
| LOSS | Haras El Hedoud - Petrojet | 2.87 | 7.96% |
| LOSS | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Escola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U19 | 2.70 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Fencibles United - Auckland FC II | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Hobro IK - AaB | 2.65 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Provincial Ovalle - Concon National | 2.70 | 6.90% |