Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Wolaita Dicha

Model: TIPPSA

Bahir Dar Kenema FC vs Wolaita Dicha

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 47d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wolaita Dicha. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Wolaita DichaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

72/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current3.26Now
Max odds3.44Highest point
Min odds2.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bahir Dar Kenema FCHOME
VS
Wolaita DichaAWAY
LDDWD
Recent form
WDDDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.40
Shots on target for
1.80
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
1.00
Home splitL-D-D-D-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-D-W1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.26. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ethiopia Premier League (et). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=90
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Wolaita Dicha shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Wolaita Dicha is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.7% 7D: -8.0% 15D: -3.3% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Wolaita Dicha Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate32.5%
Profit+3.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHodd - Moss3.044.96%
WINJunior - Millonarios3.324.77%
LOSSLeamington - Yate Town3.503.84%
LOSSCD Trasandino de Los Andes - General Velásquez3.464.77%
WINShandong Taishan - Henan3.363.84%
LOSSUnion Berlin (W) - Hamburger SV (W)3.304.77%
LOSSUniversitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta3.503.84%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.26
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 47d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 17h ago
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