Model: TIPPSA
Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Wolaita Dicha
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 23h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | Wolaita Dicha |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-D-W-D | W-D-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-D-D-L (home) | W-D-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 1.80 for / 2.60 against | 3.40 for / 1.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.00 against (home) | 3.50 for / 1.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Wolaita Dicha shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Wolaita Dicha has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.7%
7D: -8.0%
15D: -3.3%
30D: 10.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current3.26Now
Max odds3.44Highest point
Min odds2.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Bahir Dar Kenema FC – Wolaita Dicha Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate37.9%
Profit+7.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
Pick
2 @ 3.26
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 23h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago