Ballymena Utd (W) – Lisburn (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

Ballymena Utd (W) vs Lisburn (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 5h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.06% · n=31
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ballymena Utd (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ballymena Utd (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.023 | A: -0.175

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current8.00Now
Max odds8.00Highest point
Min odds4.31Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ballymena Utd (W)HOME
VS
Lisburn (W)AWAY
LWLLW
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
4.00
Shots on target for
3.60
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
9.80
7.20
Home splitL-L-W-W-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.06% based on n=31 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Cup Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandNONEROI -0.06% · n=31
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Ballymena Utd (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 66.8% 7D: 11.0% 15D: 3.0% 30D: 4.5%
Model insight

Ballymena Utd (W) – Lisburn (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.06% across 31 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate3.1%
Profit-24.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Topolcany - OFK Banik Lehota8.00-1.13%
LOSSErzurumspor FK - Galatasaray8.00-1.13%
LOSSLanzarote - Arenas Club de Getxo8.00-0.06%
LOSSAdelaide Comets - Metrostars8.00-1.13%
LOSSBentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons8.00-0.06%
LOSSVelo Clube U20 - Sao Paulo U208.00-1.13%
LOSSYork - Sunderland8.00-0.06%
LOSSEvesham United - Cheltenham8.00-0.06%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Hull - Man Utd18.00-1.13%22 Aug 13:30
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.06% • n=31
Start
Started 5h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 9m ago
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