Model: TipA1
Belgrano – Union Santa Fe
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 33d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Belgrano | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-D-W | W-D-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 0.33 conceded | 1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 2.60 against | 6.00 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.33 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Union Santa Fe. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Union Santa Fe has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 11.2%
7D: -6.1%
15D: -12.7%
30D: 0.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.68Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Belgrano – Union Santa Fe Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate11.8%
Profit-10.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Launceston City (W) - Taroona (W) | 3.30 | -0.53% |
| LOSS | Atletico FC Guayaquil - Club 9 de Octubre | 3.50 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | HJS (W) - KTP (W) | 3.40 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - EC Juventude | 3.40 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Independiente Chivilcoy - CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3.40 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Club General Martin Ledesma - Club Sport Colombia | 3.50 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | UWA-Nedlands FC Reserves - Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves | 3.25 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Vilnius Football Academy - Suduva Marijampole II | 3.25 | -3.74% |
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 33d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 17h ago