Model: TipTromba2H

Benfica Macau vs Cheng Fung

PREDICTION

@ 1.83

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 49d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Benfica Macau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Benfica Macau

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.84Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Benfica MacauHOME

Cheng FungAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

DDWWL

Avg goals scored

3.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

7.00

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

6.00

Home splitD-D2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.87% based on n=72 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Macau 1st Division (mo). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.83

V2 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72

V4 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Benfica Macau's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 29.3% 7D: 22.6% 15D: 24.8% 30D: 10.2%

Model insight

Benfica Macau – Cheng Fung Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 10.87% and 10.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate50.0%

Profit-1.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Boreham Wood - Arsenal U21	1.80	10.87%
WIN	Bragantino U20 - Atletico Paranaense U20	1.80	10.87%
WIN	PEPO - HPS	1.80	10.87%
LOSS	Olimpija Ljubljana - FK Cukaricki	1.91	10.87%
WIN	Rhode Island Rogues (W) - Albany Rush (W)	1.85	10.87%
LOSS	Hubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Port U20	1.91	10.87%
LOSS	IAPE U20 - Sao Luis MA U20	1.83	10.87%
LOSS	Balcatta FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)	1.91	10.87%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Deportivo Alexis Garcia - Politecnico J.I.C.	1	1.85	10.87%	19 Jul 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.83

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 10.87% • n=72

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

10.87% • n=72

Start

Started 49d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 18h ago