Bentleigh Greens – Northcote City

Model: TipA1

Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 60d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 60d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Northcote City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Northcote City

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.81Now
Max odds3.85Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bentleigh GreensHOME
VS
Northcote CityAWAY
WLLLD
Recent form
LLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
3.20
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
3.20
Home splitW-L-L-D1.50 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.30% based on n=159 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.60
V2 BandNONEROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Northcote City. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Northcote City is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -2.8% 7D: -2.0% 15D: -10.2% 30D: -0.6%
Model insight

Bentleigh Greens – Northcote City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate17.4%
Profit-8.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United3.50-3.74%
LOSSBreidablik/Augnablik U19 - HK/Ymir Kopavogur U193.60-3.74%
LOSSSJK Akatemia II - FC Vaajakoski3.60-0.53%
LOSSSol de America de Formosa - San Martin Formosa3.50-3.74%
WINStade Marocain Du Rabat - Widad Temara3.50-3.74%
LOSSAfturelding - Njardvik3.50-3.74%
LOSSGremio Novorizontino - Nautico3.60-3.74%
LOSSBay Olympic - Manukau United3.60-0.53%
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 60d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 60d 19h ago
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