Bergantinos – UD Ourense

Model: TIPPSH

Bergantinos – UD Ourense

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 30d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 4h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Bergantinos UD Ourense
Last 5 form L-W-L-W W-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 1.75 1.75
Avg goals conceded 2.00 1.25
Home/Away form L-L (home) W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 5.50 for / 4.50 against 3.50 for / 3.50 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.00 for / 3.50 against (home) 2.50 for / 5.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Bergantinos. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Bergantinos has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.47First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.73Highest point
Min odds2.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Bergantinos – UD Ourense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 2.73
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ?
Start
Started 30d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 4h ago
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