Model: TIPPSH
Botafogo – Racing Club
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.42
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 19d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Botafogo | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-D-W | L-D-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-D-W (home) | L-D-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 4.00 against | 3.00 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.80 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.20 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Botafogo shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Botafogo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.42Now
Max odds2.42Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Botafogo – Racing Club Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample65
Win Rate38.5%
Profit-4.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.42
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 19d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 22h ago