Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botev PlovdivValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.30% based on n=731 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Botev Plovdiv is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Botev Plovdiv – Cherno More Varna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz | 3.10 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Urawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Hodd - Sogndal | 3.08 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Real Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES | 3.20 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Cavalier - Montego Bay Utd | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Macarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 3.20 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Aston Villa - Liverpool | 3.04 | -0.30% |