Bragantino (W) – Gremio (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Bragantino (W) – Gremio (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 16d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 17h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Bragantino (W) Gremio (W)
Last 5 form L-D-W-D-W W-L-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 1.80 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.40 1.00
Home/Away form L-D-W (home) W-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 7.80 for / 3.60 against 6.80 for / 5.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 8.00 for / 3.67 against (home) 4.67 for / 5.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Bragantino (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.69First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Bragantino (W) – Gremio (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample290
Win Rate50.3%
Profit-8.59u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
WINJadran Dekani - NK Krka1.913.37%
LOSSNorth Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin1.753.37%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti1.853.37%
LOSSImisli - FK Karvan1.803.37%
WINKalmar FF - Degerfors1.953.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 16d ago
Updated
Updated 17d 17h ago
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