Model: TIPPSH
Brondby – AGF Aarhus
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.19
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 16d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.36% · n=211
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Brondby | AGF Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-W-W | W-W-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-L (home) | W-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 4.20 against | 5.20 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.95First seen
Current3.19Now
Max odds3.34Highest point
Min odds2.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Brondby – AGF Aarhus Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.36% across 211 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 3.19
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ?
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.36% • n=211
Start
Started 16d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 13h ago