Buriram United – Johor Darul Takzim

Model: TIPPSA

Buriram United vs Johor Darul Takzim

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 58d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 59d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Johor Darul Takzim. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Johor Darul Takzim

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Buriram UnitedHOME
VS
Johor Darul TakzimAWAY
LDWLL
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
5.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.00
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
2.40
Home splitL-D-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-W4.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=177 historical similar picks. The match belongs to ASEAN Club Championship. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Johor Darul Takzim a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Johor Darul Takzim's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 14.0% 7D: 3.0% 15D: -10.8% 30D: -1.8%
Model insight

Buriram United – Johor Darul Takzim Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample121
Win Rate44.6%
Profit-2.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 58d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 59d 1h ago
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