Model: TipTromba2H

Buxton vs Hereford FC

PREDICTION

@ 1.91

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 21h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Buxton. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BuxtonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.054 | A: 0.012

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.95First seen

Current1.94Now

Max odds1.95Highest point

Min odds1.94Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BuxtonHOME

Hereford FCAWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

WDLDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

8.00

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.91

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.89% · n=604

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Buxton is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -23.5% 7D: 35.6% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 13.1%

Model insight

Buxton – Hereford FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample224

Win Rate56.7%

Profit+9.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Rosenborg U19 - Molde U19	1.80	6.89%
WIN	Olimpia Grudziadz - OKS Swit Skolwin	1.80	7.35%
WIN	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1.80	6.89%
WIN	Shamrock Rovers - FK Egnatia	1.80	7.35%
WIN	Cliftonville (W) - Glentoran (W)	1.80	6.17%
WIN	Wigry Suwalki - LKS Lodz II	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	ABC U20 - Quinho FC U20	1.83	6.89%
WIN	Always Ready - Bolivar	1.90	7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.91

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604

Start

Starts in 1d 21h

Updated

Updated 13m ago