Carlos Mannucci (W) – Defensores Del Ilucan (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Defensores Del Ilucan (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 28, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 2d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carlos Mannucci (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Carlos Mannucci (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.040 | A: -0.061

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.01First seen
Current1.80Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Carlos Mannucci (W)HOME
VS
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)AWAY
WLLWW
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
4.40
Shots on target for
6.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
10.40
Home splitW-W-D-D-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.00 scored / 5.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.87% based on n=72 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Campeonato Nacional Women (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.80
V2 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72
V4 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Carlos Mannucci (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -9.4% 7D: 15.8% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Carlos Mannucci (W) – Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 10.87% and 10.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate45.5%
Profit-3.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSIJsselmeervogels - RKAV Volendam1.8510.87%
LOSSMelhus - Strindheim1.9510.87%
WINJK Tammeka Tartu - FC Kuressaare1.8310.87%
WINStiinta Poli Timisoara - CSC Dumbravita1.8010.87%
LOSSYoung Lionesses FC (W) - Zwekapin United (W)1.8010.87%
LOSSDynamo Dresden - Cottbus1.8310.87%
LOSSBoreham Wood - Arsenal U211.8010.87%
WINBragantino U20 - Atletico Paranaense U201.8010.87%
Pick
1 @ 1.80
Kickoff
Ago 28, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 10.87% • n=72
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.87% • n=72
Start
Started 2d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 1h ago
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