CD Nueva Santa Cruz – Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model: TipTromba45H

CD Nueva Santa Cruz vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 6
StartStarted 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Nueva Santa Cruz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD Nueva Santa CruzGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.135 | A: 0.220

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current4.00Now
Max odds4.00Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Nueva Santa CruzHOME
VS
Ciudad Nueva Santa CruzAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
0.60
3.20
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.40
Shots on target for
3.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.40
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-W3.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.8% 7D: 18.0% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 23.9%
Model insight

CD Nueva Santa Cruz – Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate19.4%
Profit-7.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBronshoj BK - Hellerup IK4.002.97%
LOSSBolton - Everton4.004.86%
WINFrem - Fremad Amager4.004.86%
LOSSHorsholm-Usserod IK - FC Roskilde4.004.86%
LOSSTJ Tatran Bohunice - CSK Uhersky Brod4.004.86%
LOSSJyTy - MaPS4.102.97%
LOSSRadcliffe FC - Barrow4.004.86%
WINChertsey Town - Wealdstone4.004.86%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
SK Stonava - Polanka14.004.86%25 Jul 17:00
St Johnstone (W) - Livingston (W)14.204.86%26 Jul 17:00
Pick
1 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Started 2h ago
Updated
Updated 4h 14m ago
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